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Officials: Bush to Announce Troop Cut
By MATTHEW LEE and ANNE FLAHERTY, Associated Press
Writers
WASHINGTON - President Bush will tell the nation
Thursday evening that he plans to reduce the American
troop presence in Iraq by as many as 30,000 by
next summer but will condition those and further
cuts on continued progress, The Associated Press
has learned.
In a 15-minute address from the White House at
9 p.m. EDT, Bush will endorse the recommendations
of his top general and top diplomat in Iraq, following
their appearance at two days of hearings in Congress,
administration officials said. The White House
plans to issue a written status report on the troop
buildup on Friday, they said.
The
officials spoke on condition of anonymity because
Bush's speech is not yet final. Bush was rehearsing
and polishing his remarks even as the U.S. commander
in Iraq, Gen. David Petraeus (left photo), and
U.S. Ambassador Ryan Crocker were presenting their
arguments for a second day on Capitol Hill.
In the speech, the president will say he understands
Americans' deep concerns about U.S. involvement
in Iraq and their desire to bring the troops home,
they said. Bush will say that, after hearing from
Petraeus and Crocker, he has decided on a way forward
that will reduce the U.S. military presence but
not abandon Iraq to chaos, according to the officials.
The address will stake out a conciliatory tone
toward Congress. But while mirroring Petraeus'
strategy, Bush will place more conditions on reductions
than his general did, insisting that conditions
on the ground must warrant cuts and that now-unforeseen
events could change the plan.
Petraeus recommended that a 2,000-member Marine
unit return home this month without replacement.
That would be followed in mid-December with the
departure of an Army brigade numbering 3,500 to
4,000 soldiers. Under the general's plan, another
four combat brigades would be withdrawn by July
2008.
That could leave the U.S. with as few as 130,000-135,000
troops in Iraq, down from about 168,000 now, although
Petraeus was not precise about whether all the
about 8,000 support troops sent with those extra
combat forces would be withdrawn by July.
Petraeus said he foresaw
even deeper troop cuts beyond July, but he recommended
that Bush wait until at least March to decide
when to go below 130,000 — and at what
pace.
At the White House, Bush met with House and Senate
lawmakers of both parties and he publicly pledged
to consider their views. Senate Minority Leader
Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., said the president didn't
talk about the nationwide address.
House Speaker Nancy
Pelosi, D-Calif., said Bush appears poised merely
to bring the country back to where it was before
the election that put Democrats in control of
Congress — with 130,000 troops
in Iraq.
"Please. It's an insult to the intelligence
of the American people that that is a new direction
in Iraq," she said. "We're as disappointed
as the public is that the president has a tin ear
to their opinion on this war."
In his speech, Bush will adopt Petraeus' call
for more time to determine the pace and scale of
future withdrawals and offer to report to Congress
in March, one official said.
As Petraeus and Crocker have, Bush will acknowledge
difficulties, and the fact that few of the benchmarks
set by Congress to measure progress of the buildup
have been met, the official said. Yet, he will
stress that a precipitous U.S. withdrawal would
be a catastrophe for Iraq and U.S. interests.
The president will discuss "bottom up" security
improvements, notably in Anbar Province, which
he visited on Labor Day and where Sunni leaders
have allied themselves with U.S. forces to fight
insurgents. And, he will note incremental progress
on the political front despite unhelpful roles
played by Iran and Syria, the official said.
Crocker was particularly keen on detailing diplomatic
developments, including Saudi Arabia's move to
open an embassy in Baghdad and a third conference
of Iraqi neighbors to be hosted by Turkey in Istanbul
at the end of October.
In Congress, cracks in Republican support for
the Iraq war remained, as epitomized by heated
questioning Tuesday of Petraeus.
"Is this a mission shift?" asked Sen.
Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska. "Are we continuing
down the same path that we have laid out before,
entirely reliant on the ability of the Iraqis to
come together to achieve that political reconciliation?"
Sen. Norm Coleman said
he wants a longer-term vision other than suggestions
that Petraeus and Crocker return to Capitol Hill
in mid-March to give another assessment. "Americans want to
see light at the end of the tunnel," said
Coleman, R-Minn.
Many rank-and-file Republicans say they are deeply
uneasy about keeping troops in Iraq through next
summer, but they also remain reluctant to embrace
legislation ordering troops home by next spring.
Democrats, under substantial pressure by voters
and politically influential anti-war groups, had
anticipated that a larger number of Republicans
by now would have turned against Bush on the war
because of grim poll numbers and the upcoming 2008
elections.
Indeed, Petraeus' testimony helped to solidify
support elsewhere in the GOP, keeping Democrats
far from the 60 votes they needed to pass legislation
ordering troops home.
"Americans should be happy that we can begin
to reduce troop levels months ahead of schedule," said
Sen. Pete Domenici, R-N.M.
"I'm optimistic that when the votes are counted,
they'll be roughly the same as they have been all
year," said McConnell, the Senate Republican
leader. "As you know, we've lost some, but
not a lot and I think that's a likely outcome again."
Echoing testimony given to the House on Monday,
Petraeus and Crocker acknowledged that Iraq remains
largely dysfunctional but said violence had decreased
since the influx of added U.S. troops.
Crocker said he fears
that announcing troop withdrawals, as Democrats
want, would focus Iraqi attention on "building the walls, stocking ammunition
and getting ready for a big nasty street fight" rather
than working toward reconciliation. "It will
take longer than we initially anticipated" for
Iraq's leaders to address the country's problems,
he said.
The two days of testimony seemed to turn the debate
away from the list of 18 benchmarks by which the
White House and Iraq's government had said earlier
this year that they preferred to measure progress.
The administration has protested more recently
that the benchmarks offer an unrealistic or incomplete
look at the situation.
The hearing fell on the anniversary of the Sept.
11, 2001, terrorist attacks.
In an unusual admission, Petraeus said he was
not sure whether his proposal on Iraq would make
America safer.
A visibly heated Sen.
John Warner, R-Va., asked the question to which
Petraeus said: "Sir,
I don't know, actually. I have not sat down and
sorted that out in my mind. What I have focused
on and riveted on is how to accomplish the mission
of the multinational force Iraq."
SOURCE:
Yahoo News
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